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Home / Sports / Free betting tips: Champions League including Lyon against Man City, Man United v Young Boys – Football

Free betting tips: Champions League including Lyon against Man City, Man United v Young Boys – Football



The Champions League continues on Tuesday night with both Manchester clubs in action. Tom Carnduff has three best bets behind him.



Lyon against Manchester City

Group F, Groupama Stadium, 2000 GMT, BT Sport 3

Manchester City celebrates after scoring against Hoffenheim

Manchester City celebrates after scoring against Hoffenheim

Manchester City can beat up the Group F championship with victory here and we should expect to see another achievement compared to the page lost on Etihad on Matchday 1.

It's small to see Pep Guardiola's men comfortably win games in the Premier League. They are two points clear at the top with a goal difference of +35 after just 13 matches, points 19 in their last four in all competitions.

A player who has contributed to the goalkeeper is David Silva, with the attacking midfielder who plays online in his last four matches for City.

His tally is at eight in 16 matches in all competitions, including three in the Champions League. That form has seen him almost hit last season's total ten already in the season far from half way.

A top prize of 27/10 is available on him to score here, which looks generous considering the visitor's 2/5 prize for three points in addition to his latest record.

Sky Bet also has him on 25/1 to score outside the area, which he has already done this season. Quick disconnections provide the best opportunity for this to happen, and if the situation would appear, you would restore Silva to capitalize.

There is also the value in the statistics game, and City is expected to get a lot of shots in the Lyon goal. They had 22 in the defeat to Lyon, a combined 39 in their two matches against Shakhtar and 15 in the 2-1 win over Hoffenheim.

My eye was captured by 5/1 available on David Silva, Leroy Sane, Memphis Depay and Nabil Fekir all to have 1+ shot on goal each. Silva, Depay and Fekir succeeded in their last meeting with Sane on the bench.

Both sides have attacking power, and given that 8/15 is the biggest prize for each player to have 1+ shot on goal, the price seems a bit too much.

Best bet: David Silva, Leroy Sane, Memphis Depay & Nabil Felt everyone to have 1 + shot at goal every 5/1

David Silva celebrates after leaving Manchester City management against Manchester United

David Silva celebrates after leaving Manchester City management against Manchester United

Take up the facts

  • Lyon won his only previous meeting with Man City and picked up a 2-1 win in Manchester on matchday one.
  • This is just Man City's third distant European match in France – they pulled 2-2 with PSG in April 2016 before losing 1-3 against Monaco in March 2017 (both Champions League).
  • Lyon has only lost one of their 10 secret European matches against English pages (W3 D6), with the defeat coming against Arsenal in February 2001 (0-1).
  • Lyon's last three Champions League home games have all been completed as draws – the French side came from two goals to draw 2-2 with Shakhtar in October before releasing the 2-0 lead against Hoffenheim last time.
  • Lyon is unbeaten in his four group games so far this season (W1 D3) – last time they were undefeated in their first five were 2008-09.
  • Manchester City are the highest painters in this season's Champions League, which has scored 12 goals in their four games so far.
  • Man City has won both of their Champions League games so far – only once they have won all three on the road in a single group game (2013-14).
  • If Lyon wins, it will be the first time Man City manager Pep Guardiola has been hit twice by the same club in the same Champions League group phase.
  • Manchester City's David Silva has scored in each of his last three Champions League matches. In fact, his three goals in this season's contest are already his best return in a single Champions League campaign.
  • David Silva has performed in each of his last three Champions League performances for Man City – the only player to score four in succession for the club in the competition is Raheem Sterling (September-November 2017).

Manchester United v young boys

Group H, Old Trafford, 2000 GMT, BT Sport 2

Relief: Paul Pogbas's penalty was rescued by Evert's Jordan Pickford, but United Midfielder converted rebound

Paul Pogba makes goal for Manchester United against Everton

Manchester United have made a bit of inspiration in the recent Premier League outings, although they will expect to be quite comfortable in a victory over young boys.

A late comeback ensured that Jose Mourinho's side raised all three points in Juventus, their toughest games in this group, even though they are still sitting in others after being slain by the Serie A side at home.

The term at home to Valencia means they are out of profit at home this season, but that race should end on Tuesday night.

Swiss outfit Young boys will finally win a game in the group phase of this competition, which results in exactly three goals in each defeat. They have a score but follow a 1-1 count when they host Valencia in October.

Paul Pogba played a key role when these two sides were met last with two goals and a help. The midfielder is 9/5 with Betfair and Paddy Power to find the net anytime here again, which looks great when considering how this game should go.

The 25-year-old has five goals and four assist in 16 matches so far this season and scored his Champions League goals against this opponent.

He is also United's designated punisher, so it will be a good chance to get in on the results sheet if the opportunity is presented to him.

Some companies offer as much money on the midfielder, which shows how he is interested in being among the goals of the hosts.

Best bet: Paul Pogba will score at any time at 9/5

Jose Mourinho was threatened with the move after Manchester United pulled 0-0 with Crystal Palace

Jose Mourinho was threatened with the move after Manchester United pulled 0-0 with Crystal Palace

Take up the facts

  • Manchester United won the reverse match against Young Boys 3-0, the first meeting between the two sides.
  • Young boys are windless in all three of their previous defeat against English pages (0-4 against Spurs 2010, 2-2 vs Liverpool in 2012 and 1-3 against Everton 2015).
  • Manchester United is winning his last three Champions League home games (D1 L2) – in all European competitions they have never gone four without winning at Old Trafford.
  • Man Utd has failed to score in two consecutive home games in European competition for the third time in history – they have never gone three without a goal. Their current goalless drive is at 186 minutes, since Romelu Lukaku did against Sevilla in March.
  • Young boys are windless in all four of their Champions League games (D1 L3), which allows exactly three goals in each defeat.
  • Exclusive qualifier is Young Boys winless in nine outfits in European competition (D4 L5), then a 3-1 win against Slovan Bratislava in 2014-15 Europe League.
  • Manchester United have lost more Champions League group games on match day five than they have on another in the competition (8).
  • Young boys have the lowest shots conversion rate in the Champions League this season and only convert two of their 53 total shots (4%).
  • Man Utds Romelu Lukaku has scored five goals in his three previous appearances against Young Boys, with all five coming in their two matches against them for Everton in the 2014-15 Europa League.
  • Paul Pogba had a hand in all three of Man Utd's goals in reverse fixture against young boys, scoring twice and assisting another.

1899 Hoffenheim against Shakhtar Donetsk

Group F, Rhein-Neckar Arena, 2000 GMT, BT Sport Extra 4

Hoffenheim celebrates after scoring against Man City

Hoffenheim celebrates after scoring against Man City

It is now in the must-win territory of Hoffenheim if they are going to knockout stages, although they can avail Lyon's visit to Manchester City with a home against Shakhtar.

Julian Naglesmann's side has three moves and a defeat so far, and they had a bad luck against City with a late winner denying them another score.

However, they start to play good form in the Bundesliga but it can help them get their first Champions League victory for the season here.

The hosts have moved up to sixth in the stakes and won their last two matches at the Rhein-Necker Arena, which are also second in the Bundesliga Form Schedule with 13 points in their last five matches.

Hoffenheim's eight goals show that they have no problem finding the net in this competition, which is why there is value to support goalkeepers.

The 8/1 available at Pavel Kaderabek to get points at any time caught my eye, with the wide midfielder who has direct involvement in seven goals this season.

It includes a goal in the Champions League, with its 92-minute shot, putting in a score in a 2-2 run in Lyon.

1899 should be on the front here and someone like Kaderabek can capitalize. He has also managed to score a goal in each Champions League match, showing how he gets positions to score goals.

The fact that Shakhtar has recognized 13 in this group so far underlines the defensive problems they have.

Best bet: Pavel Kaderabek gets points anytime at 8/1

Julian Nagelsmann speaks to the media

Julian Nagelsmann speaks to the media

Take up the facts

  • The only previous meeting between Hoffenheim and Shakhtar Donetsk ended 2-2 in Ukraine on matchday one.
  • Shakhtar has lost all three of his away Champions League matches against German sides, with a total score of 0-14.
  • Hoffenheim has only won one of his six home matches in all European competitions (D2 L3) and beat Istanbul Basaksehir in last season's Europa League.
  • Hoffenheim has both points and acknowledged in all 12 of their games played in all European competitions.
  • No side has made more 90-minute goals than Hoffenheim in the Champions League this season (2), while the German side has also scored the earliest goal in the competition this season (43 seconds against Man City).
  • Shakhtar is winless in his four Champions League games so far this season – only once (2011-12) they have failed to win any of their first five in a single campaign.
  • Shakhtar has not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 14 Champions League games, resulting in a total of 30 goals in the race.
  • Excluding their own goals, Brazilian players have made more Champions League goals than players from any other nation (860). Only Barcelona (83) has contributed a higher number of these than Shakhtar (78).
  • Andrej Kramaric has been directly involved in 50% of Hoffenheim's eight Champions League goals so far (3 goals, 1 assistance).
  • Junior Moraes has had a hand in three of the Shakhtar's four Champions League goals this season (2 goals, 1 help).

Juventus against Valencia

Group H, Allianz Stadium, 2000 GMT, BT Sport Extra 2

Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates after scoring against Manchester United

Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates after scoring against Manchester United

Juventus will be another side that can secure his place in the 16th century with victory at Valencia.

It will not be a simple result, with the Spanish side third in the group with a victory and two moves.

However, Juve jumped back from the surprising defeat to Manchester United with 2-0 win over AC Milan and Spal, which extended his lead on top of Serie A to eight points.

The Italian giants also had a perfect defensive record before the defeat at their last European meeting, and Valencia will do a little to threaten it in a game where they will leave empty hands.

The referee nomination will signal cards in this meeting, with Scotland's William Collum as responsible. He has shown 79 yellow cards and four red in 22 matches this season, with ten of the yellow ones coming in his two matches in this competition.

Carlos Soler is a player who has had midfield balls this season, which is the most fouled player and the player who has committed the most madness to Valencia in La Liga.

He has six yellow cards on his tally, including two in this contest, showing how his game style strikes the attention of the officials.

I expect this is a game where Valencia is on the back foot and can make the challenges that go short. In view of the judge, Soler will work in the book.

Best bet: Carlos Soler will show a card at 13/5

Juventus forward Paulo Dybala celebrates his goal at Manchester United in the Champions League

Juventus forward Paulo Dybala celebrates his goal at Manchester United in the Champions League

Take up the facts

  • The only previous meeting between Juventus and Valencia came on matchday one – the Italians won 2-0 in Spain thanks to two Miralem Pjanic penalties.
  • This will be Valencia's first rally in Italy in any European competition since December 2009, when they won 2-1 against Genoa in the Europa League.
  • Juventus has lost only three of his 32 previous home games against Spanish opponents in all European Championships (W19 D10), although one of these was in his last game (0-3 against Real Madrid in April).
  • Juventus lost his last home match against Man Utd – they have never lost in retirement homes in all European competitions in their history.
  • Juventus has kept a clean sheet in five of their six most recent Champions League group games, with the exception of their 1-2 loss against Man Utd last time.
  • None of Valencia's seven last Champions League matches have seen more than two goals (W2 D3 L2), with the Spanish side scoring four and announcing five at that time.
  • Juventus Cristiano Ronaldo got his first ever Champions League red card in the opposite direction to Valencia in September.
  • Juventus Cristiano Ronaldo has scored against 32 different opponents in the Champions League. If he wins against Valencia, he will be equal to Raul's competition record of scoring against 33 different teams.
  • Carlos Soler has been directly involved in 75% of Valencia's four Champions League goals this season (1 goal, 2 assists).
  • Juventus Paulo Dybala has scored five goals in his last five Champions League matches – as many have done in his first 24 appearances in the competition.

Odds are corrected at 1610 GMT (26/11/18)

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