This is Ireland team we think Joe Schmidt will name, it will not be the side taking the field against New Zealand next Saturday night. Schmidt and injury always throw a basketball ball. The big decision is lock where Iain Henderson, despite being consistently executed to world class standard, is released as Devin Toners lineout and flight dominance at restart becomes crucial to Brodie Retallick and Kieran Read (chasing every kick off with kamikaze intentions).
Tadhg Beirne's form also requires inclusion. Rob Kearney has to return for his defensive and positioning excellence, but Jordan Larmour should hang the 23-shirt for an X Factor from the bench. Despite an indisputable ability to lead, Rory Best's site must be under serious review. Sean Cronin and Niall Scannell have not done enough to loose the 36-year-old but the World Cup seems very far away.
If the fit returns, Garry Ringrose returns to the outside, while Robbie Henshaw's injury makes Bundee Aki the sensible choice. Dan Leavy gets pleasure from Josh van der Flier because he is better and for his opening clinic against Argentina.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Johnny Sexton, Luke McGrath; Cian Healy, Rory Best (Capture), Tadhg Furlong; Devin Toner, James Ryan; Peter O & # 39; Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Tadhg Beirne, Josh van der Flier, Kieran Marmion, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.
Damage to the color of the week. If Garry Ringrose and Rob Kearney are fit, they will play. Nobody knows the exact state of Kieran Marmion and also slips in the Aviva Stadium. All Blacks will raise their game. Ireland needs players who are consistent and can maintain the high play pace that New Zealand prefers without breaking down or making mistakes. Therefore, Schmidt returns to trusted campaigns and he is entitled to do so. But he also needs forms from scrappy dug the match from last Saturday.
Devin Toner made an impact. So did Dan Leavy. Bundee Aki played well. The wings fought to get into the game because Ireland was too crowded. Will Addison came from not being in the match day to start with his first cap and saw the part and grew into the game. Johnny Sexton can play better. The package was strong, especially James Ryan, but Rory Best was not on top of his international game. Talk about Tadhg Beirne seems too early. Schmidt can not release his lock, Toner, Ryan, Henderson as they all have delivered on demand.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Kieran Marmion, Johnny Sexton; Cian Healy, Rory Best, Tadhg Furlong, James Ryan, Ian Henderson, Peter O & # 39; Mahony, Josh van der Flier, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Devin Toner, Dan Leavy, Luke McGrath, Joey Carberry, Will Addison.
Events, dear boy, events that Harold Macmillan once made it a journalist when he asked what could most easily trace a government. And events have been conspired to possibly change, or at least clarify, three or four of Joe Schmidt's choice for the next Saturday.
Sean & Brien and Robbie Henshaw have joined Conor Murray on the sidelines, meaning that Dan Leavy, Bundee Aki and Kieran Marmion should start. Leavy and Aki are two of Ireland's best carriers and Marmion disconnected well from Pumas. Luke McGrath raised the pace, but in many ways a replacement scrumhalf should always do it.
Match again, Garry Ringrose had to return, as his breakdown, outbreak and defensive reading give more balance to the Irish attack.
As everyone saw, the value of Devin Toner (on both Irish and opposition throw and on reboot) was improved in his absence for the first hour against Pumas, and the equalizer ball is the Irish team's acid.
Similarly, the antennas were very important both for Aviva and Twickenham, and Rob Kearney's presence would restore calm, albeit with a minor game break. But Jordan Larmour's footwork, pace and versatility make him the best fit on "# 39;
There would be an argument for Tadhg Beirne on the bench, although Henderson is far more familiar with the systems, and Josh van der Flier always delivers.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Keith Earls, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Jacob Stockdale; Johnny Sexton, Kieran Marmion; Cian Healy, Rory Best (capt), Tadhg Furlong, James Ryan, Devin Toner, Peter O & # 39; Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Iain Henderson, Josh van der Flier, Luke McGrath, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.
Injuries to Robbie Henshaw, Sean Brien and Conor Murray clarify the selection process to some extent, while Rob Kearney and Garry Ringrose are assumed to match the fit. Kearney's skill in the air, positioning and experience in a contest of this ilk will be important, while Ringrose's appreciation of the 13 role in attack and defense combined with his innate ability will increase the value, especially in the attack.
Kieran Marmion was excellent last weekend, quick to ruck and intelligently covered, but Luke McGrath's physical presence in defense, support and ability to snap the edge makes a more convincing argument to start him when the collisions are toughest. Marmion, as he has previously, can give his team a slightly different kind of game coming from the bench.
Ireland is strongly dependent on its position to attack and Devin Toner will be an important factor in that regard. New Zealand gorged on England's weakness without touch. Dan Leavy was excellent last week as replacer, while on the bench it really depends on Ireland's playing field. Ballast could see both Iain Henderson and Tadhg Beirne included; A more liquid approach as in the form of Josh van der Flier or Rhys Ruddock makes the compensation.
Ireland: R Kearney; K Earls, G Ringrose, B Aki, J Stockdale; J Sexton, L McGrath; C Healy, R Best, T Furlong; D Toner, J Ryan; P O & # 39; Mahony, D Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: J McGrath, S Cronin, A Porter, In Henderson, T Beirne, K Marmion, J Carbery, J Larmour.
"Learning helplessness" is a concept I visit on Friday, but it affects the choice of law this Thursday. How ruthlessly the "ruthless pursuit of excellence" affects Joe Schmidt's rule of law remains to be seen. How accommodating Irish selection is the rusty nature of last Saturday's unity game is also important. But the election leans on psychology, culture and leadership and everything has to be balanced.
The line output requires three parts – personnel, management and driving, and in view of this, Devin Toner must start. Not because he's the best in the air (Peter Mahoney wins that price), but because he is the best lineout boss to handle an extremely complicated, pressured environment, and especially Rory Best's throw-away style. Far away are the simple BIG, RED, HAT lineout options where the opposition is now often ahead of your ideas; Therefore, O & # 39; Mahony's outrageously steal regular lineout. Our hooker needs cord and a deeper lineout arc to hit them.
If toner starts, do it best. But if Toner begins, Niall Scannell, as his performances, can be hosted so far, provided that the worrying effect of Sean Cronin continues. With the versatility of the startup I would definitely have both Tadhg Beirne and Ian Henderson on the bench.
Ireland: Rob Kearney; Jacob Stockdale, Garry Ringrose, Bundee Aki, Keith Earls; Johnny Sexton, Kieran Marmion; Cian Healy, Rory Best, Tadhg Furlong; James Ryan, Devin Toner; Peter O & # 39; Mahony, Dan Leavy, CJ Stander.
Replacements: Sean Cronin, Jack McGrath, Andrew Porter, Ian Henderson, Tadhg Beirne, Luke McGrath, Joey Carbery, Jordan Larmour.