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Home / argentina / Fourth poll after completion of the lists: Improves the economic climate, Mauricio Macri rises – 06/30/2019

Fourth poll after completion of the lists: Improves the economic climate, Mauricio Macri rises – 06/30/2019



If the frozen image is repaired, Kirchnerists can celebrate. If you look at evolution, there is hope for the macrhists. bugle He endorsed a new nationwide survey on the weekend, confirming an improvement in the number of Mauricio Macri, even though his career is still behind. The survey is off Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados, one of the consultants who made the biggest difference in favor of Fernández.

It is fourth survey He could see this magazine after its launch, at midnight on the busy Saturday 22nd it is repeated in two subjects: The composition for Change is growing, but it continues under the pair of Front of All, especially for PASS. The earlier works published by Clarín are from Synopsis, Trespuntozero and Federico González & Asociados. In parallel, three other investigators who requested anonymity and action for both sides of the crack also confirmed the photo and the trend.

Look, too

The latest work by Gustavo Córdoba (a consultant working for the Peronist Cordovan and other areas of basic resistance) contains a survey of 1,200 cases (June 26-28) all over the country, with a margin of error of +/- 2.83. The company has made a complete monthly report and therefore allows a good comparison to see how many digits expire.

Gustavo Córdoba warns in the general analysis of the survey:

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

– "The approval of the management (by the national government) has shown in June a remarkable recovery: more than 7 points and reached 41%, while the decline fell to almost 55%. "

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

– "Optimism about the economy's progress continues to increase, in the last three months. 42% of respondents believe that the economy will improve in one year, while 38% believe it will be worse (compared to 45% in May). "

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

– "The positive image of President Macri is at 40% and the negative has dropped to 51. In the case of Cristina Fernández, owns 39% of positive and 52% of negative ".

As for the election context, there are several comparisons that show a improvement for oficialismo, although it remains under Kirchnerism today, in an open scenario.

According to Gustavo Córdoba, at the beginning of the year, 64.8% leaned in favor of a "Change of Government", against just 21.4% who wanted it "Continuity". Today, the first parameter fell to 46.2% and the second to 28.5%.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

When the question is made "the intention to vote for the president of space", There is a striking parity between Frente de Todos (33.5%) and Juntos por el Cambio (32.5%). In the May survey, when the alliances had other names, Kirchnerism (like "PJ / Unidad Ciudadana") was 38% and we changed by 28%.

When the question is for the formulas, by name and surname, Alberto Fernández and Cristina Fernández reach 40%, against 32.90% by Mauricio Macri and Miguel Pichetto: 7.6 points of difference. One less than the Trespuntozero survey (8.6% difference: 42% to 33.4%), which is similar to the Federico González gap (7.3% difference: 37.3% to 30%) and higher of which Synopsis has (4.1 difference: 40.3% to 36.2%).

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

The same Gustavo Cordoba, in May, measured as now Roberto Lavagna as a candidate for PJ no K, had Fernandez in 44.3% and Macri (still without Pichetto) in 27.5%. So, in a month, the difference decreased by 9.2 points: from 16.8 to 7.6 in June.

When it comes to a balloo tage, again the same movie, according to this consultant: Fernández is still up, but with the Macri-Pichetto cut. In June, the second round distance is 4.4 points: 46.5% K vs. 42.1% of the government party. Near the margin of error. In May there was a difference of 7.9: 44.6% vs. 36.7%.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

National survey of Gustavo Córdoba & Asociados. June 2019.

Gustavo Córdoba emphasizes in his report:

– "In the voting scenario, the reason why the government needs to deepen in the second round of the first round is reflected, much more competitive when first round voters have to choose between Alberto Fernández and Mauricio Macri. Fernández and Macri were in a state of the art in the ballot scenario, Macri is the candidate who better capitalizes the votes in Lavagna and Espert ".

– "The absence of competition in STEP It forces us to rethink the same will be transformed into a potential first round for the voters, and to what extent space can maintain its position between one and the second election ".


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